China's Calculated Response to US Raid on Venezuela Raises Questions About Taiwan Strategy
The recent US military operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, has sparked heated debate in China about its long-standing strategy for Taiwan. While some analysts believe that Beijing is emboldened by the lack of condemnation from Western powers, others argue that the incident may actually serve as a deterrent.
China views Taiwan as an integral part of its territory, and therefore not subject to international law or norms. The US operation in Venezuela does not hold relevance for cross-strait relations, according to Shen Dingli, a senior international relations scholar at Shanghai's Fudan University.
However, the reality on the ground is far from straightforward. China has invested heavily in military modernization, and its People's Liberation Army (PLA) has been conducting intense drills around Taiwan in recent days. The US Department of Defense believes that Beijing is on track to achieve a "strategic decisive victory" over Taiwan by 2027.
Some Taiwanese experts, including Lin Ying Yu, an associate professor at Tamkang University, believe that the successful US military operation may actually make China more cautious about launching a similar attack on Taiwan. The fact that Chinese-made arms failed to stop the US operation in Venezuela suggests that Beijing's military capabilities are not as effective as previously thought.
Sung Wen-Ti, a non-resident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global China Hub based in Taiwan, argues that the US military's capacity for a decapitation strike could serve as a deterrent against Chinese aggression. "The US operation in Venezuela ought to provide a deterrent effect that makes Beijing think twice about putting its military to the test against Washington," he said.
Meanwhile, the international community has largely condemned the US action as a blatant violation of international law and norms. China's backing for an emergency UN security council meeting over the legality of the operation highlights its commitment to upholding global rules.
Taiwan's government, however, has remained silent on the issue, despite President Lai Ching-te's repeated calls for defending the international rules-based order. One popular Taiwanese blogger argued that Taiwan should avoid causing trouble for the US and focus on maintaining stability, rather than taking a confrontational stance.
As tensions between the US and China continue to escalate, the situation in Taiwan remains a delicate balancing act. While some analysts believe that Beijing is emboldened by Western apathy, others argue that the recent US operation may actually serve as a deterrent against Chinese aggression. The future of cross-strait relations remains uncertain, with both sides continuing to navigate the complexities of international politics and military power.
The recent US military operation in Venezuela, which resulted in the capture of President Nicolás Maduro, has sparked heated debate in China about its long-standing strategy for Taiwan. While some analysts believe that Beijing is emboldened by the lack of condemnation from Western powers, others argue that the incident may actually serve as a deterrent.
China views Taiwan as an integral part of its territory, and therefore not subject to international law or norms. The US operation in Venezuela does not hold relevance for cross-strait relations, according to Shen Dingli, a senior international relations scholar at Shanghai's Fudan University.
However, the reality on the ground is far from straightforward. China has invested heavily in military modernization, and its People's Liberation Army (PLA) has been conducting intense drills around Taiwan in recent days. The US Department of Defense believes that Beijing is on track to achieve a "strategic decisive victory" over Taiwan by 2027.
Some Taiwanese experts, including Lin Ying Yu, an associate professor at Tamkang University, believe that the successful US military operation may actually make China more cautious about launching a similar attack on Taiwan. The fact that Chinese-made arms failed to stop the US operation in Venezuela suggests that Beijing's military capabilities are not as effective as previously thought.
Sung Wen-Ti, a non-resident fellow at the Atlantic Council's Global China Hub based in Taiwan, argues that the US military's capacity for a decapitation strike could serve as a deterrent against Chinese aggression. "The US operation in Venezuela ought to provide a deterrent effect that makes Beijing think twice about putting its military to the test against Washington," he said.
Meanwhile, the international community has largely condemned the US action as a blatant violation of international law and norms. China's backing for an emergency UN security council meeting over the legality of the operation highlights its commitment to upholding global rules.
Taiwan's government, however, has remained silent on the issue, despite President Lai Ching-te's repeated calls for defending the international rules-based order. One popular Taiwanese blogger argued that Taiwan should avoid causing trouble for the US and focus on maintaining stability, rather than taking a confrontational stance.
As tensions between the US and China continue to escalate, the situation in Taiwan remains a delicate balancing act. While some analysts believe that Beijing is emboldened by Western apathy, others argue that the recent US operation may actually serve as a deterrent against Chinese aggression. The future of cross-strait relations remains uncertain, with both sides continuing to navigate the complexities of international politics and military power.
... I mean, who would've thought that a US raid on Venezuela could affect China's strategy for Taiwan? 
But seriously, it just goes to show how complex and unpredictable global politics can be.
. They're not taking the bait like some analysts predicted. I think they actually see this as an opportunity to show off their military might 
and keep the US on its toes.
. Maybe Beijing will think twice before taking on the US... or Taiwan?
, but one thing's for sure - the world needs more nuanced conversations about international politics and global security 
.
China's response to the US raid on Venezuela is giving me mixed 
feelings. On one hand, Beijing looks like it's getting 
emboldened by Western apathy, but on the other hand, maybe this incident will be a 
wake-up call for China? 
The fact that their military arms failed to stop the US in Venezuela might make them think twice about taking on Taiwan. 
But at the same time, China's been investing heavily in its military modernization and isn't planning to back down anytime soon 
. It's a tricky situation, but one thing is for sure - we need to keep an eye on this 
!
, i'd rather see a more united western front than just some individual countries playing hero 
i mean if their military stuff didnt work out so well in venezuela, what makes them think it'll do any better against the us? 
either way its super confusing and i'm just going to go back to studying for my exams 
. Like, I get it, Beijing views Taiwan as part of its territory, but come on, doesn't that just leave room for discussion? 
Is he kidding us?! The reality is that China has been investing heavily in military modernization and its PLA is conducting drills around Taiwan - it's all very suspicious 
. The future of cross-strait relations is literally anyone's guess right now 
.
We need to know what's really going on here 
with many pieces missing 
. On one hand, Beijing thinks it can just ignore US actions in Venezuela 
because it's not relevant to their Taiwan plans 
. But on the other hand, those military drills around Taiwan? That's like waving a red flag 
! The US believes China is on track for a "strategic decisive victory" by 2027 
but Taiwanese experts think the opposite might be true 
.
. One circle says "China will conquer Taiwan", while the other says "US will stop them 
Is it just a distraction from their Taiwan plans or what? 
! they've been conducting intense drills around taiwan & investing billions in new tech 
. but what if the us operation in venezuela actually makes china think twice about attacking taiwan? 
.
The international community is basically saying that the US did something wrong, and China is all like "hey, I've got your back" 
.
️. It's going to be a delicate balancing act in Taiwan, and I'm not sure which way it'll swing. Will Beijing get more cautious or will they stick with their guns? Only time will tell 
.
. On one hand, it shows that Western powers are still committed to upholding global norms 
. Personally, I think the US operation in Venezuela has actually made China more cautious about taking on the US directly 
. But until then, Taiwan's gotta navigate its own path, and if that means keeping a low profile for now, so be it 
.
... I mean, come on, Lai Ching-te has been calling for defending international rules for years now, but when it comes down to actually doing something, he just stays silent 
is china just trying to look good or what??? 
And don't even get me started on Taiwan – it's like they're stuck in a perpetual state of limbo 
It's not that hard, but I guess when you're dealing with geopolitics, it's all about playing the game by your rules 
.