Brexit's economic impact on Britain is now a clear and pressing concern for politicians. The City of London, once the beating heart of British finance, has been hit hard by the post-Brexit reality. According to Rob Rooney, Morgan Stanley's former top executive in London, Frankfurt, Madrid, Milan, and Paris have all become more attractive financial hubs than their UK counterparts. "Frankfurt, Madrid, Milan and Paris are all doing better than they were," he says bluntly.
The impact of Brexit on Britain's productivity growth has been stark. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) now expects annual productivity growth to be around 0.9%, a significant downgrade from its previous forecast. This will add around £21 billion to government borrowing by the end of the decade, leaving the chancellor with a tough challenge in her upcoming budget.
Experts point to Brexit as a major factor behind Britain's weak productivity performance since the 2008 financial crisis. The UK has seen its market share in global finance decline significantly since the Brexit referendum, and many City firms have shifted their operations to EU hubs such as Frankfurt, Dublin, Amsterdam, Madrid, Milan, and Paris.
The City's failure to adapt to the new reality has made it less efficient, with companies duplicating roles and facing additional regulatory burdens. This has been attributed to the lack of investment in the sector since Brexit. The OBR now predicts that Britain's long-term productivity growth will be around 4% lower than if the country had remained in the EU single market or customs union.
For Labour, blaming Brexit for Britain's weak productivity performance is a tricky strategy. While it may help to deflect criticism of the party's economic policies, it also risks increasing the issue's salience without providing any clear solution. The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, has been accused of trying to paper over the problems with a simplistic narrative about building closer EU ties boosting productivity growth.
Despite the challenges ahead, there are signs that Britain is still attracting innovation and investment in its financial services sector. Hyperlayer, a UK-based fintech firm founded by former Morgan Stanley executive Rob Rooney, raised £30 million in funding in October, valuing it at around £150 million. This highlights how Britain remains an attractive location for finance startups.
However, to ensure the long-term success of this new generation of finance companies, there must be a clearer plan to address the problems facing the City. As Rooney suggests, "You've got some terrific innovation here in the UK," but the question is whether it can be accelerated and scaled up without ultimately relocating to the US market.
The chancellor's task is now to balance her ambition for Britain's financial services sector with the need to tackle the underlying issues that have made productivity growth so weak.
The impact of Brexit on Britain's productivity growth has been stark. The Office for Budget Responsibility (OBR) now expects annual productivity growth to be around 0.9%, a significant downgrade from its previous forecast. This will add around £21 billion to government borrowing by the end of the decade, leaving the chancellor with a tough challenge in her upcoming budget.
Experts point to Brexit as a major factor behind Britain's weak productivity performance since the 2008 financial crisis. The UK has seen its market share in global finance decline significantly since the Brexit referendum, and many City firms have shifted their operations to EU hubs such as Frankfurt, Dublin, Amsterdam, Madrid, Milan, and Paris.
The City's failure to adapt to the new reality has made it less efficient, with companies duplicating roles and facing additional regulatory burdens. This has been attributed to the lack of investment in the sector since Brexit. The OBR now predicts that Britain's long-term productivity growth will be around 4% lower than if the country had remained in the EU single market or customs union.
For Labour, blaming Brexit for Britain's weak productivity performance is a tricky strategy. While it may help to deflect criticism of the party's economic policies, it also risks increasing the issue's salience without providing any clear solution. The chancellor, Rachel Reeves, has been accused of trying to paper over the problems with a simplistic narrative about building closer EU ties boosting productivity growth.
Despite the challenges ahead, there are signs that Britain is still attracting innovation and investment in its financial services sector. Hyperlayer, a UK-based fintech firm founded by former Morgan Stanley executive Rob Rooney, raised £30 million in funding in October, valuing it at around £150 million. This highlights how Britain remains an attractive location for finance startups.
However, to ensure the long-term success of this new generation of finance companies, there must be a clearer plan to address the problems facing the City. As Rooney suggests, "You've got some terrific innovation here in the UK," but the question is whether it can be accelerated and scaled up without ultimately relocating to the US market.
The chancellor's task is now to balance her ambition for Britain's financial services sector with the need to tackle the underlying issues that have made productivity growth so weak.