Iran's protests are witnessing old tactics of repression being put under new pressure. The regime's internet blackout is an attempt to prevent protesters from spreading their message online and witnessing the crackdown on them. This move underscores the deep uncertainty surrounding this unrest, which has been sparked by rocketing inflation and a tanking currency.
The Iranian government initially acknowledged "legitimate" economic demands, but now Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is labeling those who are seeking change as "saboteurs" - a term he uses to describe protesters. The regime's hardening stance on the protests may be driven by external pressures, particularly from US President Donald Trump, who has threatened to intervene and "hit hard" if more protesters die.
However, observers argue that the Iranian government has not succeeded in addressing the underlying causes of the unrest. The economic crisis is severe, with widespread poverty and unemployment. Moreover, the regime's military capabilities are being severely degraded, having suffered significant losses during its 12-day war with Israel and the US attack on nuclear facilities.
The international community should be cautious about offering support to the Iranian government in order to quell the protests. This approach would only serve to delegitimise the protesters' grievances as a pawns of foreign aggressors, rather than addressing their legitimate demands for change. Furthermore, any attempt by Iran to take preemptive military action against perceived threats could lead to further destabilisation and entrenchment of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's power.
Ultimately, there can be no easy exit from this crisis. The international community should focus on providing support to Iranian civilians who are seeking change, while also addressing the underlying causes of the unrest. This approach may require a more nuanced and multi-faceted response than simply offering words of encouragement or condemning the regime's actions.
The Iranian government initially acknowledged "legitimate" economic demands, but now Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is labeling those who are seeking change as "saboteurs" - a term he uses to describe protesters. The regime's hardening stance on the protests may be driven by external pressures, particularly from US President Donald Trump, who has threatened to intervene and "hit hard" if more protesters die.
However, observers argue that the Iranian government has not succeeded in addressing the underlying causes of the unrest. The economic crisis is severe, with widespread poverty and unemployment. Moreover, the regime's military capabilities are being severely degraded, having suffered significant losses during its 12-day war with Israel and the US attack on nuclear facilities.
The international community should be cautious about offering support to the Iranian government in order to quell the protests. This approach would only serve to delegitimise the protesters' grievances as a pawns of foreign aggressors, rather than addressing their legitimate demands for change. Furthermore, any attempt by Iran to take preemptive military action against perceived threats could lead to further destabilisation and entrenchment of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps's power.
Ultimately, there can be no easy exit from this crisis. The international community should focus on providing support to Iranian civilians who are seeking change, while also addressing the underlying causes of the unrest. This approach may require a more nuanced and multi-faceted response than simply offering words of encouragement or condemning the regime's actions.