India's Energy Needs Under Pressure from Washington as Russia Seeks Loopholes to Circumvent Sanctions
As the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to escalate tensions between Moscow and Western powers, India finds itself caught in the middle. The country has emerged as one of the world's largest buyers of Russian crude oil, with imports rising sharply since the outbreak of the conflict.
The US has responded by imposing punitive sanctions on India over its continued reliance on cheap Russian oil, including a 25% tariff on imports and threats to impose even steeper tariffs and withdraw from several global initiatives. However, industry analysts say these measures are unlikely to succeed in disrupting India's energy needs, as Russia is already working to find ways around the sanctions.
The latest US sanctions were brought in last month to target companies or refineries that purchase oil from Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's two largest oil exporters and biggest sellers of oil to India. While these measures have had an initial impact, with imports dropping by around a third, industry experts say they are unlikely to be effective in the long term.
"India's dependence on cheap Russian crude is hard to turn away from," said Homayoun Falakshahi, head of crude oil analysis at Kpler. "The discount on Russian oil is just too attractive for the Indian refiners not to buy."
Russia has already begun reorganizing its supply chain to allow countries like India to circumvent the US sanctions. New players are emerging as shadow middlemen between Russian oil giants and refineries in countries such as India, and analysts say it's likely only a matter of two or three months until the full supply chain is reorganized.
The Indian government has taken no direct action to curtail imports of Russian oil, instead encouraging refineries to act in their best interests. Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed to keep shipments of oil to India uninterrupted, despite US pressure.
For Reliance, India's largest private oil company, the decision to stop importing Russian crude has been a strategic move. The conglomerate is seeking alternative sources of oil and has expressed interest in resuming purchases from Venezuela, which was previously exported to India before sanctions were imposed.
As tensions between Washington and Moscow continue to escalate, it remains to be seen how effective these measures will be in disrupting India's energy needs. One thing is certain, however: Russia is determined to find ways around the sanctions and ensure that its oil exports continue to flow into key markets like India.
As the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict continues to escalate tensions between Moscow and Western powers, India finds itself caught in the middle. The country has emerged as one of the world's largest buyers of Russian crude oil, with imports rising sharply since the outbreak of the conflict.
The US has responded by imposing punitive sanctions on India over its continued reliance on cheap Russian oil, including a 25% tariff on imports and threats to impose even steeper tariffs and withdraw from several global initiatives. However, industry analysts say these measures are unlikely to succeed in disrupting India's energy needs, as Russia is already working to find ways around the sanctions.
The latest US sanctions were brought in last month to target companies or refineries that purchase oil from Rosneft and Lukoil, Russia's two largest oil exporters and biggest sellers of oil to India. While these measures have had an initial impact, with imports dropping by around a third, industry experts say they are unlikely to be effective in the long term.
"India's dependence on cheap Russian crude is hard to turn away from," said Homayoun Falakshahi, head of crude oil analysis at Kpler. "The discount on Russian oil is just too attractive for the Indian refiners not to buy."
Russia has already begun reorganizing its supply chain to allow countries like India to circumvent the US sanctions. New players are emerging as shadow middlemen between Russian oil giants and refineries in countries such as India, and analysts say it's likely only a matter of two or three months until the full supply chain is reorganized.
The Indian government has taken no direct action to curtail imports of Russian oil, instead encouraging refineries to act in their best interests. Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin has vowed to keep shipments of oil to India uninterrupted, despite US pressure.
For Reliance, India's largest private oil company, the decision to stop importing Russian crude has been a strategic move. The conglomerate is seeking alternative sources of oil and has expressed interest in resuming purchases from Venezuela, which was previously exported to India before sanctions were imposed.
As tensions between Washington and Moscow continue to escalate, it remains to be seen how effective these measures will be in disrupting India's energy needs. One thing is certain, however: Russia is determined to find ways around the sanctions and ensure that its oil exports continue to flow into key markets like India.