OPEC+ Takes Bold Step, US Gas Prices Expected to Soar as Production Cuts Kick In
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have announced a surprise move to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, effective May. This bold step is set to send shockwaves through the global energy market and fuel higher US gas prices.
As a result, both Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, saw significant gains of around 6% in Monday's trading session, with gasoline futures also experiencing a notable increase. The impact on US drivers will be immediate, with wholesale gasoline prices rising by approximately 8 cents per gallon, or about 3%, in morning trading.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, OPEC's move is "rewaking the inflation monster." The White House is likely to be taken aback by this development, as it will alter the calculus and impact consumer spending.
Currently, US gas prices stand at $3.51 per gallon, according to AAA. Kloza predicts that prices could rise to around $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order due to the production cuts. However, he also notes that prices may stabilize or even decrease by the end of summer if there is a hurricane or other storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast.
The national average for US gas prices was just below $3.53 on February 23, 2022 – the day before Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Kloza believes that one factor keeping prices in check is the planned additional releases from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the increase in US oil production and refining capacity.
However, OPEC's ability to cut production and their motivation for doing so may ultimately prove challenging to offset. As Kloza puts it, "They have the ability to cut production and they seem motivated to do so."
The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies have announced a surprise move to slash oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day, effective May. This bold step is set to send shockwaves through the global energy market and fuel higher US gas prices.
As a result, both Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, saw significant gains of around 6% in Monday's trading session, with gasoline futures also experiencing a notable increase. The impact on US drivers will be immediate, with wholesale gasoline prices rising by approximately 8 cents per gallon, or about 3%, in morning trading.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, which tracks gas prices for AAA, OPEC's move is "rewaking the inflation monster." The White House is likely to be taken aback by this development, as it will alter the calculus and impact consumer spending.
Currently, US gas prices stand at $3.51 per gallon, according to AAA. Kloza predicts that prices could rise to around $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order due to the production cuts. However, he also notes that prices may stabilize or even decrease by the end of summer if there is a hurricane or other storms affecting production along the Gulf Coast.
The national average for US gas prices was just below $3.53 on February 23, 2022 – the day before Russia's invasion of Ukraine. Kloza believes that one factor keeping prices in check is the planned additional releases from the US Strategic Petroleum Reserve and the increase in US oil production and refining capacity.
However, OPEC's ability to cut production and their motivation for doing so may ultimately prove challenging to offset. As Kloza puts it, "They have the ability to cut production and they seem motivated to do so."