US gas prices poised for sharp spike as OPEC+ cuts oil production, fueling inflation fears.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) has announced a significant reduction in oil production, which is expected to send shockwaves through global energy markets and impact US gas prices. The cut, valued at over 1.6 million barrels per day, will take effect starting May and continue until the end of the year.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, a tracking service for AAA, this move could "reawaken the inflation monster" in the US economy. The White House is likely to be shocked by the news, as it may alter the calculus on interest rates and fuel prices. With the national average gas price currently at $3.51 per gallon, Kloza predicts prices could reach up to $3.80 to $3.90 in a relatively short period.
Industry experts note that while the US has a strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) that can be released to stabilize markets, even this safety net may not fully mitigate the impact of OPEC's production cut. The SPR played a significant role in bringing down prices last year after Russia's invasion of Ukraine disrupted global energy supplies.
Kloza also points out that US oil production and refining capacity have increased since then, which should help offset some of the effects of the reduced oil supply. However, he emphasizes that a 1 million barrel-per-day reduction is not an easy cut to make up for.
The average gas price in the US was around $4.19 per gallon last year when Russia invaded Ukraine and global energy markets were disrupted. Prices eventually reached a record high of $5.02 per gallon on June 14, but then began to decline steadily over several months as supply concerns subsided. Now, with OPEC's move, gas prices could potentially return closer to those levels.
With the potential for hurricane-related disruptions along the Gulf Coast this summer, US drivers may face higher gas prices than they have in recent months.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC+) has announced a significant reduction in oil production, which is expected to send shockwaves through global energy markets and impact US gas prices. The cut, valued at over 1.6 million barrels per day, will take effect starting May and continue until the end of the year.
According to Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, a tracking service for AAA, this move could "reawaken the inflation monster" in the US economy. The White House is likely to be shocked by the news, as it may alter the calculus on interest rates and fuel prices. With the national average gas price currently at $3.51 per gallon, Kloza predicts prices could reach up to $3.80 to $3.90 in a relatively short period.
Industry experts note that while the US has a strategic petroleum reserve (SPR) that can be released to stabilize markets, even this safety net may not fully mitigate the impact of OPEC's production cut. The SPR played a significant role in bringing down prices last year after Russia's invasion of Ukraine disrupted global energy supplies.
Kloza also points out that US oil production and refining capacity have increased since then, which should help offset some of the effects of the reduced oil supply. However, he emphasizes that a 1 million barrel-per-day reduction is not an easy cut to make up for.
The average gas price in the US was around $4.19 per gallon last year when Russia invaded Ukraine and global energy markets were disrupted. Prices eventually reached a record high of $5.02 per gallon on June 14, but then began to decline steadily over several months as supply concerns subsided. Now, with OPEC's move, gas prices could potentially return closer to those levels.
With the potential for hurricane-related disruptions along the Gulf Coast this summer, US drivers may face higher gas prices than they have in recent months.