OPEC+ Takes a Step Backwards on Oil Production, Sending Gas Prices Soaring in the US
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies announced Sunday that they will cut oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This decision has sent shockwaves through the global energy market, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, surging up about 6% in trading on Monday.
As a result, gasoline futures have also skyrocketed, leading to an expected increase in gas prices at US pumps. The national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, according to AAA, with energy analyst Tom Kloza predicting that it could reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 in the near future.
Kloza attributes the sudden spike in oil prices to OPEC's move, warning that this will "awaken the inflation monster." He believes that the White House is "major-time pissed" over the decision and that it will have a significant impact on US drivers' wallets. The analyst also notes that the average US regular gas price was just below $3.53 on February 23, 2022, when Russia's invasion of Ukraine led to record-high prices.
However, Kloza suggests that there are some mitigating factors at play. The US plans to release additional oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), and domestic oil production and refining capacity have both increased since the invasion. Nevertheless, the cut in oil production by OPEC+ is a significant challenge for US drivers, and it remains to be seen whether prices will rise above $4 per gallon.
As for when gas prices might return to pre-pandemic levels or even those of 2022, Kloza is skeptical. He believes that by the end of the summer, US drivers could see prices rise again, especially if a hurricane or other storms affect production along the Gulf Coast. For now, it seems that the price of gas will remain volatile and susceptible to global events.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies announced Sunday that they will cut oil production by over 1.6 million barrels per day starting in May. This decision has sent shockwaves through the global energy market, with Brent crude futures and WTI, the US benchmark, surging up about 6% in trading on Monday.
As a result, gasoline futures have also skyrocketed, leading to an expected increase in gas prices at US pumps. The national average for US gas prices stands at $3.51, according to AAA, with energy analyst Tom Kloza predicting that it could reach as high as $3.80 to $3.90 in the near future.
Kloza attributes the sudden spike in oil prices to OPEC's move, warning that this will "awaken the inflation monster." He believes that the White House is "major-time pissed" over the decision and that it will have a significant impact on US drivers' wallets. The analyst also notes that the average US regular gas price was just below $3.53 on February 23, 2022, when Russia's invasion of Ukraine led to record-high prices.
However, Kloza suggests that there are some mitigating factors at play. The US plans to release additional oil from its Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR), and domestic oil production and refining capacity have both increased since the invasion. Nevertheless, the cut in oil production by OPEC+ is a significant challenge for US drivers, and it remains to be seen whether prices will rise above $4 per gallon.
As for when gas prices might return to pre-pandemic levels or even those of 2022, Kloza is skeptical. He believes that by the end of the summer, US drivers could see prices rise again, especially if a hurricane or other storms affect production along the Gulf Coast. For now, it seems that the price of gas will remain volatile and susceptible to global events.