New Jersey Democrats Eying GOP Seats Ahead of Midterms
Two weeks after Mikie Sherrill's resounding victory over Jack Ciattarelli in the recent governor's race, her party is looking to capitalize on Republican vulnerabilities in next year's midterms. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has set its sights on flipping a few GOP seats, starting with Rep. Tom Kean Jr., who won his seat by just one point in November.
Experts say Kean faces a growing field of well-funded challengers and the backing of national organizations like the DCCC. "Tom Kean should be worried," said Matthew Hale, a politics professor at Seton Hall University. "The fact that so many Democrats are jumping in is because they sense vulnerability, and so they're lining up to take a shot."
Kean's vulnerability stems from his party's struggles with affordability issues like rising healthcare costs. Sherrill, who has already shown that Democrats can win in traditionally Republican strongholds, may be the key to flipping Kean's seat.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is preparing to throw its financial support behind whoever emerges as the Democratic nominee for the seat. "Governor-elect Sherrill cleaned Jack Ciattarelli's clock with a relentless focus on affordability," said Eli Cousin, DCCC press secretary. "That's bad news for career politician Tom Kean Jr., whose record includes voting to jack up New Jerseyans' electricity bills and failing to prevent healthcare premiums from skyrocketing."
Kean's alignment with President Donald Trump during his second term may also be a liability, as the party of the president in power tends not to fare well in midterms following a presidential election. Polls show that a majority of New Jerseyans disapprove of Trump's job performance.
While some Republicans are confident in Kean's chances for reelection, others are taking a wait-and-see approach. "Tom Kean Jr.'s fundraising and record tell you everything you need to know: He continues to deliver win after win for New Jersey, and voters are fired up to send him back to DC," said Maureen O'Toole, National Republican Congressional Committee spokesperson.
Meanwhile, Rep. Jeff Van Drew's seat in South Jersey is also seen as vulnerable. The Democratic strategist Simon Persico believes that Van Drew faces a growing field of challengers and that the stage is set for a blue wave similar to 2018. "In a Democratic wave environment, Jeff Van Drew goes," said Persico.
Van Drew's campaign has a war chest of over $1 million, but his challenger Bayly Winder has raised the most money so far, with over $300,000 in her coffers. However, Sherrill's performance may signal a larger political shift in South Jersey, with three counties in Van Drew's district flipping from red to blue in 2025.
Two weeks after Mikie Sherrill's resounding victory over Jack Ciattarelli in the recent governor's race, her party is looking to capitalize on Republican vulnerabilities in next year's midterms. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has set its sights on flipping a few GOP seats, starting with Rep. Tom Kean Jr., who won his seat by just one point in November.
Experts say Kean faces a growing field of well-funded challengers and the backing of national organizations like the DCCC. "Tom Kean should be worried," said Matthew Hale, a politics professor at Seton Hall University. "The fact that so many Democrats are jumping in is because they sense vulnerability, and so they're lining up to take a shot."
Kean's vulnerability stems from his party's struggles with affordability issues like rising healthcare costs. Sherrill, who has already shown that Democrats can win in traditionally Republican strongholds, may be the key to flipping Kean's seat.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee is preparing to throw its financial support behind whoever emerges as the Democratic nominee for the seat. "Governor-elect Sherrill cleaned Jack Ciattarelli's clock with a relentless focus on affordability," said Eli Cousin, DCCC press secretary. "That's bad news for career politician Tom Kean Jr., whose record includes voting to jack up New Jerseyans' electricity bills and failing to prevent healthcare premiums from skyrocketing."
Kean's alignment with President Donald Trump during his second term may also be a liability, as the party of the president in power tends not to fare well in midterms following a presidential election. Polls show that a majority of New Jerseyans disapprove of Trump's job performance.
While some Republicans are confident in Kean's chances for reelection, others are taking a wait-and-see approach. "Tom Kean Jr.'s fundraising and record tell you everything you need to know: He continues to deliver win after win for New Jersey, and voters are fired up to send him back to DC," said Maureen O'Toole, National Republican Congressional Committee spokesperson.
Meanwhile, Rep. Jeff Van Drew's seat in South Jersey is also seen as vulnerable. The Democratic strategist Simon Persico believes that Van Drew faces a growing field of challengers and that the stage is set for a blue wave similar to 2018. "In a Democratic wave environment, Jeff Van Drew goes," said Persico.
Van Drew's campaign has a war chest of over $1 million, but his challenger Bayly Winder has raised the most money so far, with over $300,000 in her coffers. However, Sherrill's performance may signal a larger political shift in South Jersey, with three counties in Van Drew's district flipping from red to blue in 2025.