US Faces High Risk of Losing Measles-Free Status Amid Anti-Vaccine Sentiment Under Trump Administration
The United States is poised to lose its measles-free status next year if current trends continue, with the country potentially returning to an era of frequent outbreaks and devastating consequences for children. The nation's main outbreak this year stemmed from a massive case in West Texas that began on January 20, and if linked outbreaks continue through January 20 of next year, the US will no longer be among countries that have eradicated measles.
The threat is largely attributed to actions taken by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has undermined efforts to prevent and contain outbreaks by eroding trust in vaccines. The former anti-vaccine activist took over as head of the Department of Health and Human Services, leading to the dismissal of vaccine experts on the CDC's advisory committee and spreading misinformation about the safety and efficacy of vaccines.
Kennedy's actions have been widely criticized by scientists, who argue that vaccines are safe and effective. According to a new study, public health responses to small outbreaks with only a couple of cases cost around $244,000, while larger outbreaks can result in significant financial burdens, including estimated costs of over $12 million for the West Texas outbreak.
The CDC has been working to track measles through genomic analyses, which could help reveal the origin and true size of outbreaks. However, the agency's actions have been hindered by the Trump administration's perceived lack of urgency in addressing the resurgence of measles.
While some researchers are studying how closely different strains of the virus match up, others are analyzing entire genomes to determine the evolutionary history of samples. This can provide clues about when outbreaks began and whether they were linked.
The ongoing outbreak in Utah and Arizona has raised concerns that it may be connected to the Texas outbreak due to the same strain of measles being used. However, experts warn that this could be a technicality, as the virus is also spreading throughout Canada and Mexico, potentially sparking separate outbreaks from people infected abroad.
Canada lost its measles-elimination status in November after authorities failed to prove that various outbreaks were unrelated, highlighting the challenges of tracking the virus's spread.
The US will face scrutiny from the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) next year, which may revoke the country's measles-free status if scientific analyses suggest continuous transmission for a year. PAHO has expressed concerns about transparency and the need for countries to be honest about their findings.
In anticipation of this assessment, researchers are studying how closely different strains of measles match up in an effort to determine whether outbreaks were linked or separate. Genetic mutations can provide clues about when outbreaks began, but the lack of fine-grained details is hindering efforts to understand the true nature of the outbreak.
While surveillance efforts continue, critics argue that the CDC's quiet approach stands in stark contrast to its limited public-facing actions. The agency has not held a single press briefing on measles since President Donald Trump took office and has published fewer articles on the topic since April.
The consequences of losing measles-free status would be severe, with more children hospitalized due to preventable illnesses and some even suffering from hearing loss or death.
The United States is poised to lose its measles-free status next year if current trends continue, with the country potentially returning to an era of frequent outbreaks and devastating consequences for children. The nation's main outbreak this year stemmed from a massive case in West Texas that began on January 20, and if linked outbreaks continue through January 20 of next year, the US will no longer be among countries that have eradicated measles.
The threat is largely attributed to actions taken by Robert F. Kennedy Jr., who has undermined efforts to prevent and contain outbreaks by eroding trust in vaccines. The former anti-vaccine activist took over as head of the Department of Health and Human Services, leading to the dismissal of vaccine experts on the CDC's advisory committee and spreading misinformation about the safety and efficacy of vaccines.
Kennedy's actions have been widely criticized by scientists, who argue that vaccines are safe and effective. According to a new study, public health responses to small outbreaks with only a couple of cases cost around $244,000, while larger outbreaks can result in significant financial burdens, including estimated costs of over $12 million for the West Texas outbreak.
The CDC has been working to track measles through genomic analyses, which could help reveal the origin and true size of outbreaks. However, the agency's actions have been hindered by the Trump administration's perceived lack of urgency in addressing the resurgence of measles.
While some researchers are studying how closely different strains of the virus match up, others are analyzing entire genomes to determine the evolutionary history of samples. This can provide clues about when outbreaks began and whether they were linked.
The ongoing outbreak in Utah and Arizona has raised concerns that it may be connected to the Texas outbreak due to the same strain of measles being used. However, experts warn that this could be a technicality, as the virus is also spreading throughout Canada and Mexico, potentially sparking separate outbreaks from people infected abroad.
Canada lost its measles-elimination status in November after authorities failed to prove that various outbreaks were unrelated, highlighting the challenges of tracking the virus's spread.
The US will face scrutiny from the Pan American Health Organization (PAHO) next year, which may revoke the country's measles-free status if scientific analyses suggest continuous transmission for a year. PAHO has expressed concerns about transparency and the need for countries to be honest about their findings.
In anticipation of this assessment, researchers are studying how closely different strains of measles match up in an effort to determine whether outbreaks were linked or separate. Genetic mutations can provide clues about when outbreaks began, but the lack of fine-grained details is hindering efforts to understand the true nature of the outbreak.
While surveillance efforts continue, critics argue that the CDC's quiet approach stands in stark contrast to its limited public-facing actions. The agency has not held a single press briefing on measles since President Donald Trump took office and has published fewer articles on the topic since April.
The consequences of losing measles-free status would be severe, with more children hospitalized due to preventable illnesses and some even suffering from hearing loss or death.