Bills (-5.5) at Texans: C.J. Stroud won't play, and while I don't love this Bills team, it's hard to see Davis Mills succeed against them.
Steelers at Bears (-2.5): The Steelers will start Mason Rudolph if Aaron Rodgers can't go due to a broken wrist. However, the Bears have dominated bad quarterbacks all season, making them a solid pick.
Jaguars (-2.5) at Cardinals: The Jaguars are young but inconsistent, while the Cardinals have shown they're not great. I'm taking the Jags in this matchup despite my reservations about their consistency.
Browns at Raiders (+4): Shedeur Sanders is starting for Cleveland after being selected in the fifth round of the draft. While the Browns and Raiders both stink, the Raiders' defense makes them a better pick.
Giants at Lions (-10.5): The Giants are like "get right" teams, making them intriguing underdogs. I'm taking the Giants despite their lack of success this season.
Patri*ts (-6.5) at Bengals: The Patriots remind me of the 2017 Eagles with a second-year quarterback in the MVP conversation. They've been impressive on the road this season and will likely come out on top against the Bengals.
Seahawks (-13.5) at Titans: The Seahawks have played competitive games recently but are still the worst team in the NFL, making them an easy pick.
Vikings at Packers (-6.5): This feels like a game where Brian Flores can scheme up a win, so I'm picking the Packers against J.J. McCarthy's team.
Colts at Chiefs (-3.5): Both teams are unimpressive, but I'll take the desperate Chiefs at home with their backs against the wall.
Falcons at Saints (-1.5): The Falcons have been inconsistent this season, making them a decent pick in this matchup despite Kirk Cousins being healthy.
Steelers at Bears (-2.5): The Steelers will start Mason Rudolph if Aaron Rodgers can't go due to a broken wrist. However, the Bears have dominated bad quarterbacks all season, making them a solid pick.
Jaguars (-2.5) at Cardinals: The Jaguars are young but inconsistent, while the Cardinals have shown they're not great. I'm taking the Jags in this matchup despite my reservations about their consistency.
Browns at Raiders (+4): Shedeur Sanders is starting for Cleveland after being selected in the fifth round of the draft. While the Browns and Raiders both stink, the Raiders' defense makes them a better pick.
Giants at Lions (-10.5): The Giants are like "get right" teams, making them intriguing underdogs. I'm taking the Giants despite their lack of success this season.
Patri*ts (-6.5) at Bengals: The Patriots remind me of the 2017 Eagles with a second-year quarterback in the MVP conversation. They've been impressive on the road this season and will likely come out on top against the Bengals.
Seahawks (-13.5) at Titans: The Seahawks have played competitive games recently but are still the worst team in the NFL, making them an easy pick.
Vikings at Packers (-6.5): This feels like a game where Brian Flores can scheme up a win, so I'm picking the Packers against J.J. McCarthy's team.
Colts at Chiefs (-3.5): Both teams are unimpressive, but I'll take the desperate Chiefs at home with their backs against the wall.
Falcons at Saints (-1.5): The Falcons have been inconsistent this season, making them a decent pick in this matchup despite Kirk Cousins being healthy.