OPEC+ Steps Up the Heat on US Gas Prices, Sending Inflation Expectations Soaring.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies announced a production cut of over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May, and running through the end of the year. The news has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, causing oil prices to surge by about 6% on Monday.
The impact of this move will be felt at US gas pumps sooner rather than later, with gasoline futures already up by around 8 cents per gallon, or about 3%, in morning trading. This means that Americans can expect their gas prices to rise significantly in the coming weeks and months, potentially reaching levels above $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon.
Energy analysts are warning that this move could reignite inflation concerns, with Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, stating that "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House has been caught off guard by this move, which will undoubtedly alter the economic calculus and send shockwaves through the industry.
According to AAA, the national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51 on Monday, but Kloza predicts that it could rise to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order due to the reduced oil production. While some analysts are warning against a repeat of 2022's record-high prices of around $5 per gallon, others believe that prices may reach as high as $4 per gallon.
The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has played a crucial role in reducing gas prices in recent months, but with OPEC+ cutting production, this buffer is being eroded. The impact of the pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine led to record-high prices last year, which eventually fell due to concerns about a global recession and increased oil releases from the SPR.
However, despite this volatility, Kloza notes that one factor keeping gas prices relatively stable is the US plans for additional SPR releases, as well as increased oil production and refining capacity. Nonetheless, with OPEC+ cutting production by 1 million barrels per day, it will be a challenge to offset these losses, leading analysts to warn of a potential price spike.
In a surprise move, the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and its allies announced a production cut of over 1.6 million barrels per day, starting in May, and running through the end of the year. The news has sent shockwaves through global energy markets, causing oil prices to surge by about 6% on Monday.
The impact of this move will be felt at US gas pumps sooner rather than later, with gasoline futures already up by around 8 cents per gallon, or about 3%, in morning trading. This means that Americans can expect their gas prices to rise significantly in the coming weeks and months, potentially reaching levels above $3.80 to $3.90 per gallon.
Energy analysts are warning that this move could reignite inflation concerns, with Tom Kloza, global head of energy analysis for OPIS, stating that "I think OPEC is reawakening the inflation monster." The White House has been caught off guard by this move, which will undoubtedly alter the economic calculus and send shockwaves through the industry.
According to AAA, the national average for US gas prices stood at $3.51 on Monday, but Kloza predicts that it could rise to $3.80 to $3.90 in relatively short order due to the reduced oil production. While some analysts are warning against a repeat of 2022's record-high prices of around $5 per gallon, others believe that prices may reach as high as $4 per gallon.
The US Strategic Petroleum Reserve has played a crucial role in reducing gas prices in recent months, but with OPEC+ cutting production, this buffer is being eroded. The impact of the pandemic and Russia's invasion of Ukraine led to record-high prices last year, which eventually fell due to concerns about a global recession and increased oil releases from the SPR.
However, despite this volatility, Kloza notes that one factor keeping gas prices relatively stable is the US plans for additional SPR releases, as well as increased oil production and refining capacity. Nonetheless, with OPEC+ cutting production by 1 million barrels per day, it will be a challenge to offset these losses, leading analysts to warn of a potential price spike.