Iran's economy has been in shambles since President Trump imposed maximum pressure sanctions on Iran in 2018. The Iranian people have grown poor and their purchasing power has decreased significantly.
Protests have been spreading across the country since late December, spurred by public anger over the state of the economy. Initially, it was just merchants shuttering stores in the bazaar in Tehran that triggered the unrest. However, the protests quickly spread to cities and rural areas throughout Iran, with thousands of people participating.
In recent days, the situation has escalated significantly, with videos showing large crowds marching through multiple cities and government buildings ablaze. The Iranian government has cut off internet service and international calling in the country as anti-government protests broke out.
The most recent protests appear to be a response to a call to take to the streets from Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the shah of Iran. However, protests have been spreading across the country since late December, spurred by public anger over the state of the economy.
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has accused protesters on Friday of “ruining their own streets to make the president of another country happy,” i.e., Trump. The Iranian regime has managed to violently suppress rounds of mass protests before, but this time it seems different.
Vali Nasr, a professor of Middle East Studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, believes that the current protests are more significant because they are happening at a time of war for Iran. The Iranian regime's aura of invincibility has been shaken by the recent conflict with Israel and the threat from the US.
The protests themselves have to become even larger than they have been, they have to be sustained, and they have to be able to overwhelm the security forces when and if they are deployed in full force. And then they also have to be able to draw defections from the bureaucracy or the security forces of the country.
Vali Nasr believes that Iran is now caught in a whirlwind where it's going to face crisis after crisis, and ultimately that's going to force a major shift.
The Supreme Leader is 86 years old now, and whatever happens with the protests, he probably won’t be in power for more than a few more years. Is this a regime that can weather that kind of transition?
Protests have been spreading across the country since late December, spurred by public anger over the state of the economy. Initially, it was just merchants shuttering stores in the bazaar in Tehran that triggered the unrest. However, the protests quickly spread to cities and rural areas throughout Iran, with thousands of people participating.
In recent days, the situation has escalated significantly, with videos showing large crowds marching through multiple cities and government buildings ablaze. The Iranian government has cut off internet service and international calling in the country as anti-government protests broke out.
The most recent protests appear to be a response to a call to take to the streets from Reza Pahlavi, the exiled son of the shah of Iran. However, protests have been spreading across the country since late December, spurred by public anger over the state of the economy.
Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei has accused protesters on Friday of “ruining their own streets to make the president of another country happy,” i.e., Trump. The Iranian regime has managed to violently suppress rounds of mass protests before, but this time it seems different.
Vali Nasr, a professor of Middle East Studies at the Johns Hopkins School of Advanced International Studies, believes that the current protests are more significant because they are happening at a time of war for Iran. The Iranian regime's aura of invincibility has been shaken by the recent conflict with Israel and the threat from the US.
The protests themselves have to become even larger than they have been, they have to be sustained, and they have to be able to overwhelm the security forces when and if they are deployed in full force. And then they also have to be able to draw defections from the bureaucracy or the security forces of the country.
Vali Nasr believes that Iran is now caught in a whirlwind where it's going to face crisis after crisis, and ultimately that's going to force a major shift.
The Supreme Leader is 86 years old now, and whatever happens with the protests, he probably won’t be in power for more than a few more years. Is this a regime that can weather that kind of transition?