A.J. Brown's Drought Continues: Is His Elite Status Over?
The Philadelphia Eagles' star receiver A.J. Brown has made headlines off the field more often than on it this season, with fans, media, and even himself questioning his performance. The 31 catches for 408 yards and three touchdowns he's accumulated through nine games is a far cry from the form that made him an elite receiver.
While some blame the circumstances surrounding him - including the offense scheme, play calling, and opposing defenses - a more concerning possibility is that Brown might be in decline. His numbers when receiving the ball are particularly alarming. The yards per reception, yards per target, completion percentage on targets, yards after catch, and average separation are all career lows during his time with the Eagles.
Brown's hands are not a concern, as he has made several great catches this season. However, his ability to separate from defenders and get extra yards after the catch is lacking. He may be compensating for this lack of separation by pushing off on defenders, an approach that was more subtle in previous seasons.
A closer look at Brown's targets against man coverage shows that while he has a higher success rate than when defenses play zone, there isn't much separation between him and the nearest defender at the time of catch or incompletion. The shading of Brown by opposing defenses is also evident, particularly in zone coverages.
The Eagles' other star receiver DeVonta Smith is having his best season in four of these categories during the same timeframe. While it's too soon to say that Brown is in decline based on a sample size of eight games played, his individual play can and should be better than what he has been producing.
It's also worth noting that Brown missed the bulk of training camp with a hamstring injury, which may have affected his season start. Nevertheless, his performance this season raises questions about whether his elite status is over. The Eagles' passing offense will need to figure out how to more effectively beat zone coverages and get the ball to Brown in situations where he is open if they want to get back on track.
The Philadelphia Eagles' star receiver A.J. Brown has made headlines off the field more often than on it this season, with fans, media, and even himself questioning his performance. The 31 catches for 408 yards and three touchdowns he's accumulated through nine games is a far cry from the form that made him an elite receiver.
While some blame the circumstances surrounding him - including the offense scheme, play calling, and opposing defenses - a more concerning possibility is that Brown might be in decline. His numbers when receiving the ball are particularly alarming. The yards per reception, yards per target, completion percentage on targets, yards after catch, and average separation are all career lows during his time with the Eagles.
Brown's hands are not a concern, as he has made several great catches this season. However, his ability to separate from defenders and get extra yards after the catch is lacking. He may be compensating for this lack of separation by pushing off on defenders, an approach that was more subtle in previous seasons.
A closer look at Brown's targets against man coverage shows that while he has a higher success rate than when defenses play zone, there isn't much separation between him and the nearest defender at the time of catch or incompletion. The shading of Brown by opposing defenses is also evident, particularly in zone coverages.
The Eagles' other star receiver DeVonta Smith is having his best season in four of these categories during the same timeframe. While it's too soon to say that Brown is in decline based on a sample size of eight games played, his individual play can and should be better than what he has been producing.
It's also worth noting that Brown missed the bulk of training camp with a hamstring injury, which may have affected his season start. Nevertheless, his performance this season raises questions about whether his elite status is over. The Eagles' passing offense will need to figure out how to more effectively beat zone coverages and get the ball to Brown in situations where he is open if they want to get back on track.